Macroeconomic indicators give reason to believe that the decline in the Estonian construction market has halted and that the market is stabilizing. The Infrastructure segment is also supported this year by the volume of work related to Rail Baltica, while…
In early April when the US administration communicated its reciprocal tariffs, shock waves hit the global economy. Trump’s tariffs and the related uncertainty on policy will hit the US economy and inevitably also weigh on the global economy. We have…
In Q1 2025, Estonian GDP increased 1.2% y/y in real terms, while it rose 0.1% q/q (seasonally and working day adjusted – swda), according to the flash estimate of Statistics Estonia. As the economy is doing better and export opportunities…
Inflation eased to 2.4% in February, while overall economic growth remained weak. The ECB is likely to provide little forward guidance and reiterate data dependence. In February, headline inflation declined to 2.4% while core inflation eased to 2.6%, the lowest…
In the fourth quarter of 2024, Estonian GDP rose by 1.2% y/y in real terms (seasonally non-adjusted) and 0.7% compared to the previous quarter (seasonally and working day adjusted), according to the updated estimate of Statistics Estonia. The growth was…
The US economy will continue on a comparatively strong growth path in 2025 and 2026, while GDP growth in both the euro area and China will be limited by structural challenges. Inflation in the western economies is not too far…
In the third quarter of 2024, Estonian GDP dropped by 0.7% y/y in real terms (seasonally non-adjusted), while remained at the same level compared to the previous quarter (seasonally and working day adjusted), according to the updated estimate of Statistics…
In Q3 2024, Estonian GDP dropped 0.7% y/y in real terms, while it increased 0.1% q/q (seasonally and working day adjusted – swda), according to the flash estimate of Statistics Estonia. The estimate met our expectations. Estonia has left economic…
Eesti Panga analüüs näitab, et võrreldes teiste Euroopa riikidega on Eesti pangandussektori eluasemeportfelli süsinikuintensiivsus ning seega ka selle laenuportfelli kliimariskid küllaltki tagasihoidlikud eelkõige tänu kütteliikide kombinatsioonile, mida Eesti majapidamised kasutavad. Kaasa aitavad ka pankade endi kliimaeesmärgid. Euroopa Liidu järelevalveasutused on…
The divergent development across countries and sectors has continued this year. Boosted by household consumption, the US economy has grown at a solid pace so far this year, albeit somewhat slower than in 2023. Following a longer period of stagnation,…
Estonian household consumption has been declining since the second half of 2022 and is still falling; however, real wages started to grow in the second half of 2023. Meanwhile, household confidence is at the level last seen during the Global…
The ECB has delivered a widely expected 25bp cut; still sees inflation falling to 2% We see two more cuts this year – in September and December The Governing Council decided today to cut the three key ECB interest rates…
Estonia’s GDP dropped 2.4% year-on-year in Q1 2024 in real terms (non-adjusted), according to Statistics Estonia. In quarter-on-quarter comparison, GDP continued to contract at the start of the year, falling by 0.5% (swda) in the first quarter. Nominal GDP growth…
Estonia’s GDP dropped 2.7% year-on-year in Q4 2023 and 3.0% in 2023 in real terms (non-adjusted), according to Statistics Estonia. In quarter-on-quarter comparison, GDP continued to contract in Q4, falling by 0.7% (swda). Nominal GDP growth slowed to 4.6% in…
In Q4 2023, Estonia’s GDP dropped 3.0% y/y in real terms and remained on the same level compared to the previous quarter (swda), according to the flash estimate of Statistics Estonia. Estonian GDP contracted 3.5% y/y (swda) and 3.4% (non-adjusted)…
