Uudiste arhiiv

Swedbank: Estonia: prolonged GDP decline stopped in the Q4 2023

01.02.2024 Adaur.ee

In Q4 2023, Estonia’s GDP dropped 3.0% y/y in real terms and remained on the same level compared to the previous quarter (swda), according to the flash estimate of Statistics Estonia. Estonian GDP contracted 3.5% y/y (swda) and 3.4% (non-adjusted)…

Swedbank Economic Outlook – Cautious optimism

25.01.2024 Adaur.ee

Inflation is on a fast downward path towards more sustainable levels and is in line with monetary policy targets. Consequently, as inflation was coming down during the winter, financial markets made a quick turnaround, pricing in aggressive cuts in central…

Swedbank: ECB Update – Data dependent, not date dependent

25.01.2024 Adaur.ee

No policy changes from the ECB, deposit facility rate kept at 4% March projections are key in timing the upcoming rate cuts The ECB policy statement provided no news – all key interest rates were kept unchanged, asset purchase portfolio…

Swedbank: ECB preview – The tail tries to wag the dog

08.12.2023 Adaur.ee

Economy is in a (mild) recession, inflation below the ECB expectations. The ECB will probably lower inflation forecasts but is likely to push back against market expectations of imminent and rapid rate cuts. Economic activity remained subdued in November –…

Arco Vara: Daniel Yordanov määrati Arco Vara Bulgaaria uueks juhatajaks

05.12.2023 Adaur.ee

Arco Vara AS valis Bulgaaria üksuste uueks juhatajaks Daniel Yordanovi ning lõpetas ennetähtaegselt lepingu Bulgaaria üksuste endise juhi Kaloyan Radosslavoviga. Daniel Yordanovist saab Arco Vara ASi tütarettevõtete Arco Vara Bulgaria EOOD, Botanica Lozen EOOD, Arco Invest EOOD, Arco Manastirski EOOD,…

Arco Vara: Daniel Yordanov is appointed the new manager of Arco Vara Bulgaria

05.12.2023 Adaur.ee

Arco Vara AS appointed Daniel Yordanov as its new General Manager of Arco Vara Bulgaria, and prematurely terminated the contract with the previous manager of the Bulgarian units Kaloyan Radosslavov. Daniel becomes the manager of Arco Vara AS subsidiaries Arco…

Swedbank: Low growth and few policy options

15.11.2023 Adaur.ee

Inflation is heading down and getting closer to levels in line with inflation targets. Central banks’ policy rates are at peak levels, and the higher-for-longer mantra will soon be replaced with monetary easing. Nevertheless, monetary policy will remain restrictive in…

Swedbank: Landing is getting harder

17.10.2023 Adaur.ee

Manufacturing weakness is spilling over to the rest of the economy Core inflation finally starts dropping ECB hiking is done, cuts on the horizon In Europe, disappointing data continued pouring throughout the summer and into the fourth quarter. Manufacturing continued…

Swedbank: Estonian economy has contracted six quarters in a row

01.09.2023 Adaur.ee

In Q2, Estonian GDP declined 2.9% y/y (non-adjusted) and 0.2% q/q (swda). GDP has contracted 3.3% in real terms in 1H 2023. The GDP decline has receded gradually, while the largest contraction remained in 4Q 2022. We forecast 2% GDP…

Swedbank: Long-lasting recession continued in the second quarter

01.08.2023 Adaur.ee

In Q2 2023, GDP dropped 3% y/y and 0.3% q/q (both swda) in real terms, according to the flash estimate of Statistics Estonia. GDP contraction in Q2 was below our expectations. However, the economic contraction is receding gradually. Estonian economy…

Swedbank: The ECB wants to pause, the data are likely to allow that

27.07.2023 Adaur.ee

All key interest rates increased by another 25 basis points, to record high levels l We maintain our forecast that this was the last rate increase in current hiking cycle As expected, today the Governing Council decided to raise all…

Swedbank: Stability and Sustainability – Baltic and Swedish economies in doldrums

27.06.2023 Adaur.ee

Sweden: Economic growth has weakened Baltics: Insufficient demand and falling inflation Risks: Even weaker demand, higher unemployment, geopolitical pressures, deglobalisation Sustainability: Continued improvements are needed Swedish economy showed more resilience than expected in the first quarter, although a substantial positive…

Swedbank: ECB update – No surprises

16.06.2023 Adaur.ee

A 25bp hike and an end to APP reinvestments Another and possibly final hike in July Governing council served no surprises in today’s policy decision meeting. All key policy rates were increased by 25 basis points (bp). The council signaled…

Swedbank: Estonia: GPD fell for the fifth quarter in a row

01.06.2023 Adaur.ee

In Q1 2023, GDP contracted 3.2% y/y (non-adjusted) and 0.6% q/q (swda) in real terms. GDP contraction met our expectations. In nominal terms, Estonian economy expanded 9.3%, above the long-term average. Estonian economy has contracted five quarters in a row…

Swedbank: Labour market is doing well in Estonia

17.05.2023 Adaur.ee

The situation in the labor market is still good, despite the year-long recession in the economy. The number of the employed is record-high (up by 3.2%, over the year) and the unemployment rate is relatively low. According to Statistics Estonia,…

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